| Financial Information |
| |
At
30 June
2004
£'000 |
At
31 December 2003
£'000 |
%
Change |
| Fixed
assets |
430,804 |
497,283 |
-13.4 |
| Net borrowings (including
7.5% Convertible Unsecured Loan Stock 2011) |
292,914 |
345,434 |
–15.2% |
| Net Assets |
154,597 |
156,541 |
–1.2% |
|
| Ordinary
share |
|
|
|
| Net Asset Value |
40.4p |
43.0p |
–6.0% |
| Mid-market price |
48.3p |
48.0p |
+0.6% |
| Premium |
19.6% |
11.6% |
|
|
| Zero Dividend
Preference share |
|
|
| Net asset value |
129.8p |
124.3p |
+4.4% |
| Mid-market price |
98.3p |
84.8p |
+15.9% |
| Discount |
24.3% |
31.8% |
|
|
| 7.5% Convertible
Unsecured Loan Stock 2011 |
|
| Mid-market price |
98.3p |
91.0p |
+8.0% |
| Net debt to equity
ratio |
189.5% |
220.7% |
|
| Net debt to equity
ratio after allowing for full conversion of 7.5% Convertible
Unsecured Loan Stock 2011 |
75.0% |
94.8% |
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
Interim
Period Ended |
|
| |
30
June
2004
£'000 |
30
June
2003
£'000 |
|
| Total Income |
14,899 |
15,154 |
|
| Net total return
before taxation |
(858 |
24,312 |
|
|
| Chairman's Statement |
Introduction
In the six month period ended 30 June 2004, the net assets of your
Company have
decreased by 1.2 per cent. from £156.5m (restated from previously
reported figure of £167.0m) to £154.6m. This has resulted
in the net asset value per Ordinary share falling 6 per cent. from
43p (as restated) to 40.4p. The price of the Company’s Ordinary
shares, 48.3p at the end of the period under review, has increased
to 55p as at 17 September 2004.
At the period end the Company’s assets were primarily Irish
and UK properties. The Irish property portfolio was valued at Euro
511.9m (31 December 2003 Euro 506.3m) and the UK portfolio, following
a number of disposals detailed below, at £75.9m (31 December
2003 £107.5m). I am pleased to report that the property market
has again remained stable. The majority of investments within the
Company’s income portfolio have successfully been realised
and at the period end the remaining income portfolio was valued
at £5.8m (31 December 2003: £27.6m).
Irish Economic Overview
The Irish economy is enjoying a strong rebound in activity following
the downturn in late 2001, sustained through 2002 and 2003. Figures
from the Central Statistics Office (CSO) indicate that the Irish
economy grew at an annual rate of just over 6 per cent. in the first
3 months of 2004. This surge in economic performance reflects more
favourable international trading conditions and renewed confidence
among consumers, underwritten by a tightening of the labour market.
While consumer expenditure remained moderate in 2003, increasing
by only 1.9 per cent. on the previous year, there is evidence of
a strong pick up in consumer confidence in 2004. The combination
of an increase in earnings growth, an improvement in labour market
conditions and a reduction in the savings ratio has created a positive
environment for rising consumer expenditure. This is reflected by
an increase in retail sales: the annual growth rate in consumer
sales was 2.8 per cent. in the first quarter of the year relative
to 0.6 per cent. in the final quarter of 2003.
The latest CSO figures indicate that the rate of inflation as measured
by the consumer price index (CPI) increased moderately during the
first half of the year but remains around the Euro-area average
of just under 2 per cent.
Despite the strength of the recovery in much of the global economy,
the overall Euro area recovery remains quite weak. The outlook is
that the recovery in the Euro-zone generally will remain moderate
in the medium term, constraining rises in interest rates.
Irish Property Market
The recovery in the performance of the Irish property market witnessed
in the second half of 2003 has carried through into the first half
of 2004. The Society of Chartered Surveyors/Investment Property
Databank (SCS/IPD) Index indicates a total return of 12.2 per cent.
in the 12 months to the end of June 2004. This compares with a total
return of 6.3 per cent. over the corresponding period to June 2003.
The Dublin office market remains stable with vacancy levels declining.
Renewed
confidence in the economy is generating increased enquiries from
occupiers. This is highlighted by a recent report published by the
OECD which confirms that the level of foreign direct investment
into the Irish economy rose to an estimated $25.5bn in 2003, up
5 per cent. on the previous year. This is in contrast to Europe
as a whole, where inward investment fell by 23 per cent. during
2003. Examples of specific foreign direct investment projects, which
have impacted on the Dublin office market in the first half of 2004,
include the establishment by two important players in the technology
sector, E-Bay and Google, of their European headquarters in Dublin.
Rental levels have remained relatively unchanged during the first
half of 2004 with prime rents for third generation space in the
city centre around Euro 440 per sq. m. while those for second hand
properties are in the region of b350 per sq. m.
The retail market continues to be the most buoyant sector. The aggressive
expansion policies of both domestic and international retailers
coupled with a continued lack of prime accommodation has further
underwritten the strength of this market. The SCS/IPD Index recorded
a total capital growth in retail values in the 12 months to the
end of June 2004 at 19.2 per cent. with average rental values growing
over the same period by 8.7 per cent. Most of the new retail stock
due to be completed and brought to the market during the next 12
- 24 months is almost fully let, thereby ensuring a continuing scarcity
of quality retail opportunities and underpinning values for the
foreseeable future.
The residential market has also maintained a healthy level of growth
during the first half of the year. After a record performance in
2003 when almost 70,000 new units were developed, indications to
date suggest that this level could be replicated if not exceeded
in 2004. Despite the increase in supply however, the market remains
strongly underpinned with demand generated by population growth,
rising living standards, falling household sizes and a benign interest
rate environment.
Irish Property Portfolio
The sectoral breakdown of the Company’s Irish property portfolio
(including properties held by Havenview) is as follows
The Irish property portfolio continues to perform well with the
investment portfolio
producing modest capital appreciation during the first half of the
year. Rent reviews in respect of a number of properties in the portfolio
continue to generate rental growth and contribute to performance.
A particular highlight during the period was the confirmation of
full planning permission, through our 50 per cent. joint venture
company Havenview, for our major town centre mixed-use scheme at
Ballymun. Based on the consents now received, this has the potential
to become one of Ireland’s best shopping centre developments
and is undoubtedly amongst the most exciting development projects
in the Company’s portfolio.
We remain busy on the other development properties in the portfolio
with applications for planning permission lodged during the period
for development schemes on the Balgaddy site in Clondalkin, the
Allegro site in Sandyford and the Blakes site in Stillorgan (the
last two being held within Havenview).
UK Property Investment Market
In 2003, UK property delivered total returns of 11.3 per cent. according
to the IPD Monthly Index and performance in the first half of 2004
appears to be a continuation on the same theme. In the first half
of 2004, UK property generated a total return of 8.6 per cent. (IPD
Monthly Index), comparing very favourably with returns on Equities
(FTSE All Share Index) at 2.8 per cent. and Gilts (FTSE 5-15 year
index) at 0.1 per cent.
The UK market recorded returns of 2.1 per cent. for June 2004 (IPD
Monthly Index), the highest one-month return for over a decade.
This strong performance is more significant when considered against
the background of rising interest rates.
The drivers of this performance are starting to shift. While much
of the total return
generated by property last year was delivered through capital value
growth (mostly as a result of very strong demand from investors)
rather than rental value growth (indicating a revival in occupational
markets), there are signs that there is now some rental value growth
appearing in some of the office sub-markets.
The hierarchy of sector performance has remained unchanged for some
time now, with the retail sector performing best, industrial second
and offices third. All three sectors benefited from capital value
growth through sustained investment demand (and a relative lack
of product) over the period, though unlike previous quarters office
returns were not being held back by significant rental decline.
Retail and industrial continued to benefit from clear rental value
growth.
UK Property Portfolio
At 30 June 2004, your UK property portfolio comprised 22 properties,
valued at £75.9m. The revised valuation reflects an increase
in value (on a like for like basis) of 3.8 per cent. since December
2003.
The sectoral breakdown of the Company’s UK property portfolio
is as follows:
The reduced size of the portfolio (there were 43 properties in
your UK portfolio in
December 2003) results from disposals during the period under review
totalling £38.4m, including the sale on 16 April of a portfolio
of 19 properties, for a total consideration of £35.6m. The
price achieved reflected a premium of nearly 13 per cent. over the
value of the properties in December 2003. The properties identified
for sale in this transaction were those where either asset management
initiatives had been completed, or there was little short-term opportunity
to add value. The premium price achieved reflected, in part, the
strong investment demand for portfolios of such properties.
The retained portfolio comprises a mixture of retail, office and
industrial property, located around the UK, and two individual office
properties; one located in Guernsey and the other in the Isle of
Man. The portfolio is currently generating an income yield of 8.1
per cent., and has only 3.5 per cent. vacancy.
A number of the assets have short-term asset management initiatives,
including upcoming rent reviews and lease renewals, while others
have interesting prospects for refurbishment or redevelopment. The
future ownership of these assets is reviewed on an ongoing basis,
in the context of the expected future performance of the individual
assets, and the portfolio’s wider context within the Real
Estate Opportunities group.
Financing
As reported in the last annual report, the Company has during the
period under review repaid the outstanding b15m Income Portfolio
facility and at the same time cancelled the Euro 188m interest rate
swap for a cost of b15.3m. This was funded from sales of bond investments.
In addition, the Company has subsequently repaid £25m of the
UK property loan, closed out the £109m UK property swap for
a profit of £26,000 and entered into an interest rate cap
on the remaining UK property loan of £50m at 5.8 per cent.
per annum until 25 July 2005.
Adjustment to Accounts for 2002 and 2003
In 2001, the Company took out a floating rate loan for b188m and,
at the same time,
entered into an interest rate swap for the same amount, effectively
fixing the interest
payable on the loan. b173m of the loan was repaid in two tranches
in September and December 2002. The balance, b15m, was repaid in
January of this year and, at the same time, the interest rate swap
was broken at a cost of b15.3m (as referred to in Financing, above);
this repayment and breakage was announced at the time and is recorded
as a post balance sheet event in the Annual Report and Accounts
of the Company for 2003. Likewise the UK property loan was not fully
drawndown at the year end, having a balance of £69m at 31
December 2002 and £75m at 31 December 2003. The swap on this
loan was closed as shown in Financing, above.
In the audited accounts of the Company for 2002 and 2003, both interest
rate swaps were treated as hedging instruments and accordingly nil
value was ascribed to them in the balance sheet (the fair value
being indicated in a note to the accounts for both years).
Notwithstanding the advice given at the time by the Company’s
auditors, KPMG Channel Islands Limited (“KPMG”), the
Board has now been advised by KPMG that in so far as the loan to
which the interest rate swap related had been repaid, the fair value
of the swap should, in accordance with UK GAAP, have been provided
for as a balance sheet item. On the basis of this new advice received
from KPMG, a prior year adjustment has therefore now been made and
this is reflected in the interim accounts which follow this statement.
Case Against Aberdeen
The Committee appointed to investigate the legal claims available
to the Company for losses sustained in the income portfolio has
made good progress under the chairmanship of Lord Browne-Wilkinson.
Aberdeen and other advisers have been notified of the company’s
expected claims and have been invited to provide information in
relation to them. Pending further steps, it would not be appropriate
to announce further details of the nature and extent of the proposed
claims.
Outlook
The Board remains firm in its conviction that shareholders’
returns will be best enhanced by continuing to progress your Company’s
development projects and by the continued good prospects for growth
in the Company’s existing investment assets. I am particularly
encouraged that consensus growth forecasts for the Irish economy
remain exceptionally strong relative to the Euro-zone as a whole.
This, coupled with the development potential of the Company’s
principal property assets, justifies an optimistic outlook for the
Company.
R Y F Horney
Chairman
20 September 2004
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